Value Horse Finder Techniques
If you have taken the time to read the VHF page you will know basically how the software operates, you just load the scanner, start it running and then when a position is found you click through to the bookmaker and place your Bet and click the Submission button for Betfair. So now lets show you a couple of examples of how Value Horse Finder is used to best effect.
Lets look at the following race we have loaded our scanner and found this opportunity
So we can see above we have 4 indications of bets (I have the ROI set to "zero") so lets look firstly at what the different colour Bars indicate. The Red bar indicates an EW arbitrage is available and the Blue bar indicates a Win only arbitrage position is available. So lets look a little deeper......
Here is the win position that has been indicated on Cape of Storms (fig.1)the top line is the current Betfair Lay odds for the win markets only and we can see the win only price available to back with Ladbrokes.
We can see at this moment we can Back Cape of storms with Ladbrokes for odds of 9 and we can Lay the same horse on Betfair for 8.4 odds so as you can see a discrepancy easily and rapidly identified. |
 fig.1 |
We now open the Analysis screen and select the runner from the runners list and then we check the trade variables.
fig.2
Here we see if Cape of Storms loses the race we have the following position. We lose our bookies win stake of £50 but we keep the successful Lay stake so we have £53.57 creating a profit of £3.57 (fig.2)
If Cape of Storms wins the race we have the following position. We would face a liability of £396.42 however we have the profit of £400 from our successful Back bet so we profit £3.58 (fig.2)
We have created a very quick and easy no lose position of £3.57.
These positions occur many times through the markets being available. Value Horse Finder makes these positions rapid and very easy to exploit.
Lets look at an EW arbitrage and how to use the software to get the maximum profits.
| Now lets look at the above scanner example and we will concentrate this time on "Drink to me only" (fig.3) we have scanned the market and Value Horse Finder has indicated our possible ROI is 9.86% so we have our basic trade highlighted lets have a closer look at how the probability will help us make an informed decision about which bet variable to take. |
 fig.3 |
| When we study the probability data for the selected runner "drink to me only" (fig.4) we can see that the winning probability of the horse is quite low which leads us to weight our return towards the Place or Unplaced bet variable. |
 fig.4 |
| We simply select the Bet variable we require (fig.5) in this case Max Place and Unplaced as our probability data indicates. |
 fig.5 |
| Now we check our Return on Investment data and we have the following view (fig.6) |
 fig.6 |
| Here is the return we will make once we have the bets matched to the odds and stakes indicated(fig.7). As you can see our return is weighted to the horse finishing placed or unplaced. If the horse wins we return our full stake so we lose nothing. |
 fig.7 |
Using the probability data to help you make profitable choices
Lets now use the probability to show another side to the software if we look at the horse Black Oval we can use the probability data to help us make an informed choice regarding a possible Lay opportunity.
| Lets look at "Black Oval"scan results (fig.8) we can see that this horse is "POOR VALUE" providing you can consistently Lay these poor value selections you have a solid basis to profit from your Lay selections. We can see this ROI is showing -9.07%. |
 fig.8 |
Now we check the probability of Black Oval (fig.9) to make sure the win probability is in line with our POOR VALUE indications.
Here we can clearly see Black Oval has a very low winning probability so this confirms this horse as a good source to Lay. |
 fig.9 |
Here is the result of the race, lets recap the different variables for a £50 EW bet on the EW arbitrage on Drink to me only would have made a profit of £24.61
Our win arbitrage made us £3.57 profit no matter what the outcome of the race and we can perform these trades multiple times.
Also our win Lay on Black Oval is successful. |
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One final note, if you look at the scan window above and you look at the best ROI horses (all highlighted) they make an excellent source of Dutches ideally look for horses within the ROI bracket of (-2% or better) here we would have 4 selections and would just click through to Bet-IE to place the Dutch. At the Betfair odds available on this Dutch we would make a profit of 66.5%. This is yet another variation to exploit using this ROI data on this outstanding software.
